• Hillary’s Numbers Dive In New Poll

    new poll of several swing states contains bad news for Hillary Clinton, showing her lead over top GOP contenders shrinking or disappearing entirely.

    The poll, conducted by Quinnipiac University, surveyed voters in the states of Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia. Each of these three states voted for George W. Bush in 2004, but backed Barack Obama in the last two elections. Winning at least some of these states back if the GOP wants to reclaim the White House in 2016.

    The poll asked voters in each swing state to choose between Clinton and major Republican presidential contenders Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, and Marco Rubio. According to the poll, Clinton trails all three candidates in all three states, sometimes by a substantial margin.

    Against Bush, Clinton trails 41 percent to 36 percent in Colorado, 42-36 in Iowa, and 42-39 in Virginia. Against Walker, the situation is even worse for Clinton, as she trails 47-38 in Colorado, 45-37 in Iowa, and 43-40 in Virginia. Against Rubio, her deficit is 46-38 in Colorado, 44-36 in Iowa, and 43-41 in Virginia.

    The poll also pitted top Clinton rival Bernie Sanders against the Republicans, and while he also trailed by several points in all three states, his numbers were very close to Clinton’s, damaging the idea that Hillary is by far strongest candidate among the Democrats. Joe Biden was put against the Republicans as well, though he did not perform quite as well.

    The poll didn’t just have bad news for Clinton, but also for upstart Republican candidate Donald Trump. The poll asked registered voters in each state to say whether they felt favorable or unfavorable towards the various presidential contenders on both sides. Trump finished last or second to last among candidates in either party in all three states, with a -27 favorability gap in Colorado, a -25 gap in Iowa, and a -29 gap in Virginia.

    Clinton didn’t finish much better though, as her favorability gap was -9 in Virginia, -21 in Colorado, and a gruesome -23 in Iowa. The most favorably-viewed candidate is Dr. Ben Carson, who was +11 in Virginia, +9 in Iowa, and +16 in Colorado.

    While the news of the poll is very bad, it’s also an outlier compared to other polls in the recent past. For example, a PPP poll of Virginia voters released last week shows Hillary well ahead of all Republican competition in that state, and a USA Today poll showed her with a substantial national lead over any challenger.

    The poll was conducted from July 9-20 and polled registered voters in each state. The Colorado poll had 1,231 respondents, the Iowa poll had 1,236 respondents, and the Virginia poll had 1,209 respondents. All had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

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