• U.S. Fertility Rate Continues to Sink — and That Ain’t Good News for America

    Surge Summary: Women in America continue to have fewer children. The broad anti-baby, anti-life, anti-family sentiments sweeping the culture plausibly explain this development – and it spells trouble for the United States.

    Some grim stats from National Review’s Zachary Evans:

    For the fourth consecutive year, in 2018 the U.S. fertility rate dipped, reaching a record low 59.1 births for every 1,000 women able to bear children. These figures come via the National Center for Health Statistics which announced them one week ago.

    The fertility rate has actually been on the decline since the 2008 recession. It experienced a slight rebound in 2014. It’s not unusual for economic crises to produce a decline in fertility rates; the difference in the current scenario is the decline has not reversed even as the economy has recovered.

    “It is hard for me to believe that the birthrate just keeps going down,” University of New Hampshire demographer Kenneth Johnson told … the New York Times.

    Hard to believe? The unrelenting drumbeat of abortion-mania, career-idolatry for women, the widespread diminishment of respect for human life in the culture, distortion of marriage and family — not to mention general godlessness — can account for the plunge quite reasonably.

    “The data suggest that people want to establish themselves before having children,” Alison Gemmill, a demographer at Johns Hopkins University, told the Times. “They also want to make sure they have adequate resources to raise quality children.”

    The median age at which women give birth has increased continuously over the past several decades. William Frey, a senior demographer at the Brookings Institution, said the median childbearing age in the 1970’s was 21 for women and 23 for men, while data from the Census Bureau show that the median childbearing age in 2018 was 28 for women and 30 for men. The number of women giving birth under the age of 35 has also steadily declined, with more women giving birth in their 30’s and 40’s.

    The annual rate of births per woman, which for 2018 was 59.1/1000 is known as the general fertility rate. A different metric, the total fertility rate, measures the likely number of children the average woman will have during her lifetime, if current fertility patterns hold.

    For 2018 the TFR was measured at 1.73, according to a May 2019 Pew study. Extrapolating from this statistic means women are bearing fewer than two children on average – that’s below the replacement level for the general population.

    Again, grim news with all kinds of potential ramifications for American society.

    H/T: National Review/Zachary Evans

    Image: Creative Commons; Public Domain; https://libreshot.com/swing-on-playground/


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