• Hard COVID-19 Numbers: Survivability Rate Overwhelming for Majority of Americans

    Surge Summary: The Centers for Disease Control has released the numbers concerning the threat coronavirus is to people – and the facts are that most Americans are not at risk of death from the virus. Things are looking up, dramatically improved from spring’s ominous peak.

    by Gary Bauer

    The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recently released five pandemic planning scenarios to help assist government health officials in making their decisions.  These planning scenarios haven’t gotten much attention, but they should.  What’s most revealing are the projected COVID-19 fatality rates based on various age groups.

    Here are the fatality rates based on what the CDC predicts is the most likely outcome:

    • 0-19 years: 0.00003
    • 20-49 years: 0.0002
    • 50-69 years: 0.005
    • 70+ years: 0.054

    In other words, the survivability rates for these respective age groups are:

    • 0-19: 99.997%
    • 20-49: 99.98%
    • 50-69: 99.5%
    • 70+: 94.6%

    Clearly, the virus is a threat to those over 70 years of age.  But the vast majority of Americans are not at serious risk.  We also know this is true because in spite of the daily hysteria about COVID outbreaks on college campuses in recent days, there have been virtually no serious cases.

    Dr. Andrew Bostom analyzed the data and discovered that out of more than 48,000 reported cases of coronavirus among college students there were only 2 hospitalizations and zero deaths.

    Meanwhile, Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, testified before the Senate [Wednesday] and told senators that “more than 90% of the population remains susceptible” to COVID-19.

    In other words, Dr. Redfield believes that 10% of the population has already had it.  If 10% has had it, that’s 30 million people who have had COVID-19.  But there have been 200,000 deaths.  That’s a death rate of approximately 0.7%, less than one percent.  For perspective, a bad flu season is about 0.50%.

    Meanwhile, there were nearly 850,000 COVID tests administered around the country [Wednesday].  Out of those tests, just under 40,000 new cases were discovered, for a 5% positivity rate.

    [Wednesday], 1,138 deaths were attributed to the coronavirus, well less than half of the spring peak.

    The views here are those of the author and not necessarily Daily Surge

    Originally posted here.

    Image: Adapted from: Image of OpenClipart-Vectors on Pixabay . 

    Gary Lee Bauer is an American politician and activist, who served in the Reagan administration. He later became president of the Family Research Council and a senior vice president of Focus on the Family. In 2000, he participated in the Republican presidential contest.


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